Richard Duncan has released an update to his Oldavai Theory and it is much like the others. He has looked at recent data and it doesn't really change anything. In a previous post I explained my recent epiphany regarding the essence of his idea which is that the collapse of per capita energy availability (which can be considered a measure of civilization's prosperity) is not dependent on a collapse of oil production itself but merely a reduction in the rate of increase in oil production. Since this is something that is already clearly happening we are almost certainly in the throws of an impending descent. Read his report, we all have a need to know.
Mr. Duncan has released his report in the form of a Report.pdf, Figure1.pdf and Figure2.pdf
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